Aston Villa vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1910 |
SUN
3 - 2
ASV
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1910 |
BHA
1 - 0
ASV
18%
22%
60%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1910 |
ASV
1 - 1
OLD
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1910 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASV
53%
22%
25%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1910 |
ASV
4 - 0
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1910 |
ARS
0 - 0
SHE
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1910 |
BCF
1 - 1
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1910 |
ARS
1 - 2
MUD
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1910 |
ARS
1 - 3
PNE
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1910 |
TOT
1 - 1
ARS
54%
22%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |