Aston Villa vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1909 |
ASV
3 - 0
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1909 |
ASV
2 - 1
MAC
65%
19%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
MID
1 - 0
ASV
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
ASV
2 - 4
PNE
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1909 |
ASV
3 - 0
SHE
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1909 |
MUD
1 - 4
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 0
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1909 |
ARS
2 - 0
SHW
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
BBU
1 - 3
ARS
62%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
ARS
0 - 0
CHL
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |