Aston Villa vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
ASV
3 - 1
EVE
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1909 |
BBU
3 - 1
ASV
44%
23%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
ASV
1 - 3
BRA
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1909 |
SHE
3 - 1
ASV
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1909 |
ASV
0 - 0
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 1
ARS
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1909 |
ARS
5 - 0
LIV
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
MAC
2 - 2
ARS
70%
16%
14%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1909 |
PNE
0 - 0
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 1
BRI
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |