Aston Villa vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 0
ASV
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1907 |
ASV
0 - 2
EVE
59%
20%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1907 |
BIR
2 - 3
ASV
48%
23%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
ASV
2 - 0
BOL
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1907 |
ASV
1 - 0
SUN
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1907 |
ARS
0 - 0
BCF
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1907 |
PNE
3 - 0
ARS
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1907 |
ARS
2 - 1
MAC
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 0
ARS
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1907 |
BCF
3 - 2
ARS
50%
23%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |