Europa League 1/32
Global 1-5
Aston Villa vs Antwerp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
ASV
2 - 1
BIR
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1975 |
WOL
0 - 0
ASV
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
LIV
3 - 0
ASV
72%
18%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
ANT
4 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
ASV
2 - 0
ARS
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Antwerp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
KSK
5 - 0
ANT
33%
29%
38%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
ANT
4 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
ANT
0 - 4
LIE
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1975 |
BEE
2 - 5
ANT
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1975 |
ANT
2 - 1
MOL
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |