ASD Asti vs Città di Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
50.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Asti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
AST
3 - 1
PDH
32%
22%
46%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
LIG
0 - 1
AST
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
AST
2 - 3
DER
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
AST
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 0
AST
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Città di Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 0
PRO
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
ASD
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 2
BOR
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
GOZ
1 - 3
ASD
54%
25%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 1
NOV
16%
21%
64%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |