Asteras Tripolis vs Messiniakos Kalamata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asteras Tripolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2006 |
TRI
2 - 1
PGE
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
TRI
2 - 0
AGI
83%
13%
4%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
TRI
1 - 0
MYT
83%
13%
5%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
VYZ
0 - 1
TRI
10%
21%
69%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
TRI
4 - 0
ATS
80%
15%
6%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Messiniakos Kalamata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2006 |
ETH
1 - 1
MES
59%
24%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
AHA
1 - 1
MES
47%
27%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
MES
2 - 1
ROD
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ACH
0 - 3
MES
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
MES
1 - 0
PGE
49%
25%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |