Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 1-1
Asteras Tripolis vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asteras Tripolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
SHA
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 1
TRI
38%
29%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 0
PAN
48%
28%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 2
PAN
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ARI
0 - 3
TRI
53%
27%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAÇ
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
OLH
0 - 0
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
FCP
25%
24%
51%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SLB
4 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 4
NAC
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |