Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
57.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
6º
11º
7º
59
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asteras Tripolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
KAM
1 - 3
TRI
13%
21%
65%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
ATR
0 - 0
TRI
46%
27%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 4
PAN
24%
29%
47%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VNF
1 - 2
TRI
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TRI
2 - 2
GIA
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AEK
3 - 0
PGE
79%
15%
6%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 1
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
OFI
2 - 0
AEK
22%
25%
53%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
AEK
2 - 1
ATR
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 2
AEK
42%
27%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |