Astana vs Vostok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
AST
4 - 1
ZHE
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
FCI
0 - 1
AST
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AST
1 - 2
FCA
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 3
AST
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
AST
1 - 0
VOS
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vostok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
KAI
2 - 0
VOS
47%
26%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
VOS
1 - 0
TOB
27%
27%
47%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
TAR
1 - 0
VOS
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
VOS
0 - 0
ATY
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
AST
1 - 0
VOS
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |