Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 9-1
Astana vs Valletta FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SHA
1 - 0
AST
16%
24%
60%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
AST
4 - 1
SCO
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
AST
4 - 0
TAR
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
SCO
0 - 0
AST
26%
27%
47%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
CLU
3 - 1
AST
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valletta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 1
FTC
25%
25%
49%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
FTC
3 - 1
VAL
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 1
F91
28%
24%
49%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
F91
2 - 2
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
BAL
4 - 4
VAL
29%
24%
47%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |