Astana vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
KYZ
0 - 2
AST
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ORD
1 - 2
AST
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
MAQ
3 - 1
AST
13%
20%
67%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
AST
1 - 1
KAI
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
FCI
1 - 6
AST
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -7 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TOB
1 - 1
AKZ
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
TOB
1 - 0
ZHE
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 1
TOB
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
TOB
3 - 2
ATY
57%
25%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +5 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
KYZ
1 - 2
TOB
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -4 |