Qualif. Champions Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-0
Astana vs Sutjeska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
TOB
0 - 0
AST
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
AST
5 - 3
ORD
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
KAI
1 - 2
AST
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
AST
3 - 0
FCI
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
KAI
0 - 2
AST
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
BUD
2 - 3
SUT
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
SUT
2 - 0
DEC
70%
20%
11%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
RUD
2 - 1
SUT
33%
30%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SUT
1 - 1
GRB
52%
26%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
MLA
2 - 1
SUT
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |