Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 3-2
Astana vs SK Brann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
47.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
BBS
2 - 0
AST
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
AST
6 - 1
HUN
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
HUN
1 - 2
AST
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AST
2 - 1
FKT
46%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
AST
1 - 0
MIL
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SK Brann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
BBS
2 - 0
AST
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 4
BBS
25%
23%
52%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
BBS
3 - 1
STM
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
STM
1 - 1
BBS
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 3
BBS
23%
23%
54%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |