Cup Kazakhstan Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Astana vs Shakhter Karagandy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
SHA
2 - 1
AST
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TAR
1 - 1
AST
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
ORD
0 - 0
AST
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
AST
1 - 0
ZHE
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 1
AST
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
SHA
2 - 1
AST
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SHA
0 - 1
FCI
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SHA
3 - 0
KAI
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
KAI
0 - 1
SHA
26%
30%
45%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 0
ZHE
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |