Astana vs Ordabasy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
9º
3º
36
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
36 | 43 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 41 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 41 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 41 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 37 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
10º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 25 |
11º
|
39% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 19 |
12º
|
78% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 13 |
13º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
14.5% | 43.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
33.5% | 34.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
52% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
ATY
1 - 0
AST
32%
29%
39%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AST
1 - 1
KAI
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
AST
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
AST
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 2
AST
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ordabasy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ORD
3 - 1
ZHE
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 0
ORD
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ORD
1 - 0
TOB
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
ORD
1 - 2
FCA
46%
24%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 1
ORD
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |