Astana vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
7º
2º
26
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 36% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 64% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ORD
1 - 2
AST
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
DZG
5 - 1
AST
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AST
2 - 1
TOB
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
AST
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KAI
1 - 0
AST
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
OKZ
0 - 0
ATY
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
AKS
0 - 1
OKZ
41%
26%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OKZ
3 - 3
KAS
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 0
OKZ
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OKZ
2 - 1
ZHE
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |