Astana vs Milsami Orhei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 1
AST
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
AST
1 - 3
KAI
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
KYZ
0 - 1
AST
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
AST
0 - 1
ORD
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ATY
1 - 0
AST
32%
29%
39%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Milsami Orhei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 1
AST
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 0
TOR
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 4
MIL
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 1
FCD
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 1
PET
24%
28%
49%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |