Astana vs FC Kyzylzhar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
9º
5º
19
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
33 | 44 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 42 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 42 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 41 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 39 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 33 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 30 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 27 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
30% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
61.5% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
0 - 1
AST
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
AST
3 - 0
BBS
29%
23%
48%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
BBS
2 - 0
AST
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
AST
6 - 1
HUN
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
HUN
1 - 2
AST
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Kyzylzhar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FKY
2 - 1
KYZ
45%
29%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KYZ
0 - 1
KAI
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 2
KYZ
49%
28%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KYZ
2 - 1
ZHE
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
KYZ
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |