Astana vs Yelimay Semey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
9º
3º
37
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 43 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 41 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
37 | 41 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 37 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
44% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 29 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 25 |
11º
|
40.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
74.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 13 |
13º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
14% | 21.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
40% | 45.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
46% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
ZHE
0 - 2
AST
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
AST
2 - 0
FKZ
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 0
AST
64%
20%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FCR
1 - 0
AST
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
KRA
2 - 4
AST
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Yelimay Semey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
TOB
4 - 2
FKY
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FKY
0 - 0
ATY
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
FKL
1 - 0
FKY
22%
21%
57%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FKY
0 - 4
ORD
22%
22%
56%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 1
FKY
84%
11%
5%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |