Cup Kazakhstan Semi-finals
Global 7-4
Astana vs FC Irtysh Pavlodar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
AST
1 - 1
OLP
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FCI
0 - 0
AST
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
OKZ
0 - 0
AST
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AST
1 - 0
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
OLP
4 - 1
AST
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Irtysh Pavlodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FCI
0 - 0
AST
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FCI
1 - 3
KAI
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ORD
3 - 3
FCI
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FCI
5 - 1
FCA
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
OKZ
1 - 4
FCI
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |