Qualif. Champions Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Astana vs Dinamo Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
ORD
2 - 0
AST
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
KAS
1 - 2
AST
19%
26%
55%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
AST
1 - 0
ORD
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
AST
3 - 1
KAS
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 1
AST
35%
24%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
DTB
1 - 1
DBA
38%
23%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
DTB
1 - 1
GOR
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
DTB
3 - 0
SAM
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
SAB
2 - 1
DTB
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
DTB
1 - 2
DBA
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |