Astana vs Atyrau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
9º
2º
35
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AST
2 - 0
FCA
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
TNS
2 - 0
AST
46%
22%
32%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FKY
0 - 3
AST
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
AST
3 - 0
SHA
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
AST
1 - 0
TSC
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atyrau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ATY
1 - 0
FKY
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KYZ
3 - 2
ATY
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
ATY
3 - 0
FKT
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ATY
1 - 2
FCA
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ATY
2 - 1
FKZ
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |