Cup Kazakhstan Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Astana vs FC Aktobe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
AST
2 - 0
SHA
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AST
5 - 0
ORD
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
4 - 0
AST
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
AST
0 - 3
VIL
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 1
AST
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
FCA
0 - 0
KAI
56%
24%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SHA
1 - 1
FCA
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
WAR
2 - 0
FCA
58%
22%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
FCA
0 - 1
WAR
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 1
AST
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |