UEFA Youth League 1/64
Global 2-4
Astana Sub 19 vs Apolonia Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
MPT
4 - 0
AST
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
AST
1 - 0
MPT
9%
14%
78%
|
11 | 45 | 34 | +6 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
DZA
3 - 1
AST
87%
9%
5%
|
12 | 42 | 30 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
AST
1 - 1
DZA
9%
14%
77%
|
8 | 45 | 37 | +4 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
VSS
0 - 4
AST
34%
21%
45%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |