United IK Nordic vs Umeå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
6º
3º
58
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 68 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 65 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 65 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 48 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 45 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 44 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 44 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 43 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 37 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 36 |
10º
|
31% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 33 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 30 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 28 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 26 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
16.5% | 59% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
42% | 25% |
|
Mid-table
|
41.5% | 16% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United IK Nordic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VAS
1 - 2
ASS
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ASS
3 - 0
KAR
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 2
ASS
26%
24%
51%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ASS
3 - 1
TAB
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
FBK
1 - 3
ASS
21%
22%
58%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
PIT
0 - 0
UME
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
UME
1 - 1
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
UME
3 - 1
KAL
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HTF
1 - 2
UME
43%
25%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
UME
4 - 2
IFS
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |