ASSU vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
ASS
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ASS
0 - 2
ABC
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 1
ARN
19%
24%
58%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ALE
3 - 1
ASS
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 0
SAN
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
6 - 0
COR
42%
26%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
POT
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 4
BAR
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
ASA
2 - 1
SAN
76%
16%
9%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
COR
4 - 3
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |