ASSU vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ASS
2 - 3
ABC
11%
19%
71%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ASS
0 - 0
ACD
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
GLO
0 - 1
ASS
76%
16%
9%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
ASS
69%
20%
11%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ARN
1 - 0
ASS
78%
15%
8%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ARN
3 - 1
FEL
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
FEL
0 - 0
ARN
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
POT
0 - 2
FEL
47%
26%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
ACD
0 - 0
FEL
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |