ASSU vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
39.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ASS
3 - 2
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ARN
2 - 0
ASS
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ASS
4 - 0
POT
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
ASS
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
FEL
3 - 0
ASS
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
FEL
1 - 1
PAL
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
FEL
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 1
FEL
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ARN
2 - 1
FEL
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
FEL
3 - 0
ASS
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |