ASSU vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GLO
0 - 1
ASS
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 1
ASS
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 0
BAR
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ASS
2 - 1
ALE
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
ASS
37%
27%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 3
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 2
ARN
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ARN
2 - 2
GLO
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 1
ARN
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ABC
4 - 1
ARN
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |