ASSU vs Altos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
SDS
0 - 0
ASS
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ASS
2 - 1
SDS
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 0
ASS
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ASS
0 - 1
MOT
29%
26%
46%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ASS
0 - 3
ABC
15%
21%
65%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 0
MOT
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 0
ALT
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 0
ASS
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SDS
1 - 1
ALT
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ALT
4 - 2
RIV
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |