ASSU vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
64.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ASS
4 - 1
BAR
52%
25%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
ARN
4 - 1
ASS
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ASS
0 - 1
GLO
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
FEL
1 - 0
ASS
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
ASS
43%
27%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
GLO
2 - 1
ABC
15%
21%
63%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ABC
1 - 1
FEL
77%
16%
8%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 3
ABC
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
GLO
0 - 3
ABC
15%
22%
63%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ABC
2 - 0
ARN
60%
23%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |