ACO Liguria vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
ACL
1 - 2
GEN
30%
23%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
JUV
4 - 1
ACL
81%
12%
7%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
ACL
1 - 2
LIV
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
INT
5 - 1
ACL
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
ACL
1 - 0
BAR
59%
20%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
TOR
4 - 0
ROM
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
ROM
2 - 1
VNZ
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
ACM
4 - 1
ROM
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
ROM
1 - 0
VIC
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
FIO
3 - 0
ROM
60%
21%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |