ACO Liguria vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
INT
1 - 0
ACL
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ACL
1 - 0
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
ACL
2 - 0
NAP
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 1
ACL
65%
17%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
JUV
4 - 0
ACL
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
ROM
1 - 0
NAP
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 2
ROM
54%
21%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
ROM
3 - 1
JUV
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
BOL
1 - 0
ROM
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
NOV
1 - 0
ROM
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |