ACO Liguria vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
LIV
2 - 0
ACL
54%
22%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
ACL
0 - 1
INT
35%
24%
41%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ACL
67%
17%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
FIO
4 - 1
ACL
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
ACL
1 - 0
TOR
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
MOD
0 - 3
TOR
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
TRI
1 - 1
MOD
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
MOD
0 - 1
VNZ
37%
24%
39%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1942 |
ATL
3 - 0
MOD
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
MOD
1 - 0
ACM
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |