ACO Liguria vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1942 |
ROM
7 - 0
ACL
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
ACL
3 - 4
GEN
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
JUV
3 - 0
ACL
72%
17%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
ACL
2 - 1
BOL
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
NAP
1 - 1
ACL
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1942 |
ACM
2 - 5
TOR
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
TRI
2 - 2
ACM
39%
27%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
ACM
1 - 1
VNZ
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
ATL
0 - 2
ACM
36%
24%
41%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
ACM
2 - 1
VNZ
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |