ACO Liguria vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
14.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
BAR
2 - 1
ACL
36%
23%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
ACL
1 - 0
GEN
49%
23%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
INT
5 - 2
ACL
78%
13%
9%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
ACL
2 - 0
NAP
64%
19%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
ROM
1 - 0
ACL
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
LIV
0 - 2
ACM
42%
25%
34%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
NOV
2 - 1
LIV
53%
21%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
LIV
2 - 3
LAZ
33%
23%
44%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
BOL
1 - 1
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
TOR
3 - 2
LIV
73%
16%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |