ACO Liguria vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
42%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
FIO
4 - 0
ACL
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1939 |
ACL
2 - 1
TOR
43%
24%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1939 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACL
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1939 |
ACL
1 - 1
TRI
56%
22%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1939 |
ROM
2 - 2
ACL
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 0
NAP
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1939 |
VNZ
2 - 6
GEN
50%
22%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1939 |
GEN
3 - 2
JUV
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1939 |
BOL
5 - 3
GEN
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1939 |
GEN
5 - 3
NOV
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |