ACO Liguria vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
TOR
3 - 0
ACL
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
ACL
1 - 1
MOD
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
TRI
3 - 1
ACL
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
ACL
1 - 0
ROM
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
INT
1 - 0
ACL
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
FIO
2 - 0
NAP
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 0
FIO
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
FIO
0 - 0
JUV
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
BOL
3 - 2
FIO
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
FIO
2 - 2
NOV
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |