ACO Liguria vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1942 |
ACL
1 - 1
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
TOR
3 - 0
ACL
80%
12%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
ACL
1 - 0
VNZ
35%
24%
42%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
ACM
0 - 0
ACL
75%
14%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
ACL
3 - 1
VIC
51%
22%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1942 |
ATL
1 - 0
TOR
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
VNZ
1 - 1
ATL
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
ATL
0 - 0
ACM
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
VIC
2 - 3
ATL
55%
21%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
ATL
1 - 0
FIO
43%
23%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |