ACO Liguria vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
ACL
2 - 0
NAP
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 1
ACL
65%
17%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
JUV
4 - 0
ACL
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
ACL
1 - 1
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
NOV
1 - 0
ACL
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
BAR
0 - 1
GEN
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
NAP
1 - 1
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
FIO
1 - 1
BAR
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
BAR
3 - 0
VNZ
39%
24%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
BAR
2 - 2
TOR
37%
26%
38%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |