Naval 1º de Maio vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
70.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.9%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval 1º de Maio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ANM
0 - 3
IDE
12%
17%
72%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
ANM
3 - 7
BEN
10%
22%
67%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
OLE
5 - 3
ANM
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 4
FAT
14%
19%
68%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 3
SER
13%
18%
70%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
OPE
3 - 0
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
IDE
1 - 0
OPE
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 2
BEN
42%
29%
30%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
OLE
1 - 1
OPE
8%
18%
75%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 1
UDL
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |