Naval 1º de Maio vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
71.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval 1º de Maio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
ANM
3 - 7
BEN
10%
22%
67%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
OLE
5 - 3
ANM
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 4
FAT
14%
19%
68%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 3
SER
13%
18%
70%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 1
VIT
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
IDE
1 - 0
OPE
24%
25%
51%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
IDE
1 - 1
OLE
85%
10%
5%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FAT
5 - 1
IDE
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
IDE
1 - 0
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
IDE
3 - 1
FAT
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |