Naval 1º de Maio vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
67.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval 1º de Maio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 3
SER
13%
18%
70%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 1
VIT
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UDL
6 - 0
ANM
88%
10%
3%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ANM
0 - 4
CAR
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OPE
4 - 1
ANM
82%
13%
5%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FAT
5 - 1
IDE
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
OLE
0 - 2
FAT
13%
19%
69%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
IDE
3 - 1
FAT
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
FAT
1 - 0
OPE
23%
25%
53%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
FAT
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |