Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
9º
3º
30
5º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano Évora 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
OEL
1 - 1
ALE
69%
20%
11%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
IMO
0 - 1
ALE
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 1
REA
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 1
SER
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
ALE
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VAS
2 - 0
IMO
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SER
1 - 2
VAS
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VAS
0 - 1
MON
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
REA
3 - 2
VAS
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
VAS
3 - 2
LOU
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |