Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
5º
2º
36
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano Évora 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 2
ALE
20%
20%
59%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 1
OLH
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FAB
1 - 1
ALE
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
RAB
1 - 0
ALE
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 0
ANG
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VAS
0 - 1
JUV
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
EDL
1 - 1
VAS
41%
24%
36%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VAS
1 - 1
IMO
32%
26%
43%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
VAS
2 - 0
PRA
36%
24%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
VAS
29%
24%
48%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |