Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
62.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano Évora 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 0
ORI
48%
26%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 0
CIN
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 0
ALE
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 1
FCB
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SIN
0 - 0
ALE
51%
24%
26%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AMO
1 - 1
SPC
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 2
ALV
64%
22%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
1DE
0 - 2
SPC
17%
24%
59%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 1
ATL
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SPC
3 - 0
SCP
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |