Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Oriental Dragon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano Évora 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ALE
0 - 0
MON
68%
17%
15%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ORI
1 - 1
REA
32%
25%
44%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ALV
1 - 0
ORI
53%
24%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ORI
1 - 2
USA
64%
20%
15%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
ORI
1 - 1
SCP
19%
23%
58%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
LOU
0 - 2
ORI
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |