Lusitano Évora 1911 vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
9º
3º
39
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano Évora 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SIN
0 - 0
ALE
51%
24%
26%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 0
ALE
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 1
1DE
33%
27%
41%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ATL
5 - 1
ALE
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 2
PER
42%
27%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCB
2 - 0
IMO
22%
22%
57%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SER
2 - 2
FCB
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
FCB
1 - 0
JUV
22%
24%
54%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +3 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
FCB
1 - 0
UNI
55%
22%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FCB
0 - 1
SER
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |