Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Estrela Vendas Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano Évora 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FAB
1 - 1
ALE
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 0
EST
5%
11%
84%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ALE
2 - 0
OPE
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCB
0 - 1
ALE
29%
27%
45%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 1
ACV
7%
13%
79%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela Vendas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
EVN
0 - 2
SER
26%
24%
50%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MOU
2 - 0
EVN
23%
20%
58%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
EVN
0 - 3
AMO
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SIN
2 - 1
EVN
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 2
EVN
23%
20%
58%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |